Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 205.908619 239.511718 278.213032 326.390001 385.180809 455.137648 545.498695
2025-08-24 158.764545 199.885806 252.174904 324.666331 424.369889 559.430307 761.110614
2025-08-31 133.357298 176.970650 236.267120 324.897873 457.828998 656.365669 988.780579
2025-09-07 117.067639 161.915721 226.226744 328.438249 493.282075 761.166096 1258.286352
2025-09-14 100.582203 143.484564 207.529664 314.243694 496.467660 813.486465 1454.550180
2025-09-21 90.835602 133.376240 199.331075 314.310444 521.898931 908.471593 1762.423569
2025-09-28 83.486886 125.827379 193.775149 317.290044 552.310779 1019.628171 2146.738822
2025-10-05 80.687948 125.042057 198.909813 339.462748 622.989544 1230.473091 2855.317307
2025-10-12 77.462237 123.063417 201.583718 357.356996 689.147675 1452.541468 3714.261226
2025-10-19 71.853674 116.334843 194.911103 355.933746 713.956707 1586.459385 4401.452989
2025-10-26 68.611586 113.364866 194.634816 367.182413 769.543641 1816.031036 5545.930515
2025-11-02 65.123912 109.558452 192.262371 373.561933 815.202136 2036.017819 6827.826012
2025-11-09 61.355499 105.334084 189.506221 380.916936 871.516183 2329.739094 8777.798154
2025-11-16 56.915499 99.443943 182.845122 378.739053 904.252671 2573.788848 10845.791014
2025-11-23 53.243416 94.612089 177.668410 379.017455 944.155786 2865.007179 13596.358793
2025-11-30 50.323406 90.933067 174.399009 383.293288 997.392368 3237.635129 17508.402477
2025-12-07 46.032449 84.069601 163.427390 366.162102 980.442431 3329.389420 19713.235093
2025-12-14 43.479626 80.521176 159.337043 366.242584 1019.084176 3681.279366 24796.076683
2025-12-21 41.414486 77.783488 156.728911 369.835957 1071.154622 4133.144853 32146.287122
2025-12-28 40.994383 78.476734 162.083422 396.620616 1215.390882 5159.905269 50058.964741
2026-01-04 40.214048 78.303888 165.367195 418.292422 1350.894479 6287.399825 76643.366937
2026-01-11 38.189866 75.188573 161.117209 416.566951 1393.595044 6910.877892 99611.594169
2026-01-18 37.108292 74.092446 161.754158 430.212398 1507.302253 8140.304612 149124.484451